Every number below comes from recorded sales, not sentiment.
Right now this is a buyer's market, holding steady.
The edge tilts to buyers. Days on market and concessions are running above this ZIP's historical norm.
$480K
Median sold (3 mo)
$222
Per sqft
53 days
On market · 5-yr norm 42
99.4%
Sold to list
20%
Closed over list · 5-yr norm 21%
Latest three complete months of ARMLS single-family sales in 85388.‡
One-year $/sqft change: -1.5%. Three-year: 3.7%.
Percentages sit next to this ZIP's own five-year norm, so a number reads as high or low
for 85388 specifically, not the metro.
Out of the 160 homes that closed in May to July 2026, here is the bedroom count buyers
actually bought. Median 3.0 bathrooms.
CLIFFORDSELLSAZ
2 beds or fewer5%
3 bedrooms44%
4 bedrooms39%
5+ bedrooms12%
Where 85388 sits
The shaded area is ZIP 85388. Streets and highways
stay visible so you can orient yourself. Map data from OpenStreetMap.
Is 85388 expensive right now
Measured against 26 years of history, 85388 is priced right where it usually sits relative to the rest of the Valley. No premium, no discount. If you buy here, you pay what the neighborhood is actually worth.
Still growing. Builders are actively adding to the 14,046 homes already here. Most were built around 2006. 15% of the homes are landlord-owned, which is typical for the Valley.
When 85388 was built
The age profile of the 12,559 homes here with a recorded build year. The copper
bar is the decade that defines this neighborhood. Age tells you what to inspect: a 1970s ZIP
means original plumbing and panels are still out there, while a 2020s ZIP is mostly
under builder warranty.
CLIFFORDSELLSAZ
Before 19600%
1960s0%
1970s0%
1980s1%
1990s0%
2000s62%
2010s15%
2020s22%
Twenty-six years of price history
ZIP 85388Maricopa County
Median sold price per square foot by month,
Jan 2000 to Aug 2026, 3-month smoothed. ARMLS single-family sales.
Over the last 10 years this ZIP appreciated 113%.* In the 2008 crash it drew down 64% peak to trough,† which is the honest measure of how it behaves when the market turns.
Where prices actually land
From 316 sales in the last 6 months (February to July 2026).
Half of everything sold between the 25th and 75th percentile lines.
$/sqft
Sold price
Bottom of the market (p10)
$169
25th percentile
$187
$388,403
Median
$217
$458,444
75th percentile
$250
$573,800
Top of the market (p90)
$314
$/sqft and sold price are each their own ranking of
these 316 sales — the 25th percentile by $/sqft is not always the same
sale as the 25th percentile by price, since home size varies within any price range.
Price per square foot falls as homes get bigger here, so a large home should be judged against its own size band below, not the ZIP overall.
Size band
Median $/sqft
Sales
Under 1,400 sqft
too few to publish
11
1,400 to 1,900 sqft
$231/sqft
84
1,900 to 2,600 sqft
$209/sqft
143
Over 2,600 sqft
$189/sqft
78
CLIFFORDSELLSAZ
Where does your home land?
Slide to a price and size. I will place it on 85388's ladder, using the
last 6 months of actual sales.
ENTRYVALUEMIDUPPERPREMIUM
YOUR HOME
$169/sqft$217 median$314/sqft
Runs entirely on this page. Nothing is sent anywhere. Not an appraisal,
just where the number sits on this ZIP's ladder.
See what features place a house into each price tier in 85388, and how your
home stacks up. Leave a way to reach you and I will send your street-level
breakdown.
Got it. Your
85388 tier breakdown is on its way. I read every one of these myself. Clifford
That didn't go
through. Try once more, or email me directly at
clifford@cliffordsellsaz.com
and I will take it from there.
What this means for you
Buying here
Take your time and negotiate. The data supports it. Leverage score 62 out of 100,
measured against this ZIP's own 26-year history. Days on market sit at the
68th percentile of everything this ZIP has ever done.
Selling here
The data says: underprice to spark bidding (over-list market). That comes from how 85388 buyers
are actually behaving this quarter, not a rule of thumb.
Neighborhood profile: 85388
Who provides the power, how common HOAs are, the assigned schools, and what the homes come with. From ARMLS listing data.
Is ZIP 85388 in Surprise a buyer's or seller's market right now?
As of May to July 2026, 85388 is a buyer's market. Homes take a median 53 days to sell and 20% close above asking, about the ZIP's ~21% five-year norm for this time of year — measured against the ZIP's own history, not the metro average.
What is the median home price in 85388 (Surprise)?
Over the latest three complete months, the median sold price in 85388 is $480K, about $222 per square foot. Across a steadier six-month window it is $458,444, about $217 per square foot — the shorter window moves faster, the longer one is more reliable when a ZIP has fewer sales.
Is 85388 affordable for a first-time buyer?
Entry-level homes in 85388, around the 25th percentile by sold price, start near $388,403 (median $458,444). Separately, the 25th percentile by $/sqft is about $187 — its own ranking of the same sales, since home size varies within any price range.
Is 85388 a good area to buy a rental or investment property?
15% of homes in 85388 are held as long-term rentals, and prices are up 113% over the last 10 years. In the 2008 downturn the area drew down 64% peak to trough, which shows how it behaves when the market turns.
What price will a home in 85388 sell for?
Over the last 6 months, most 85388 homes sold between $388,403 and $573,800, with a median of $458,444. By $/sqft — its own ranking, not necessarily the same sales — the high end (90th percentile) reaches about $314 per square foot.
How fast do homes sell in 85388?
Homes in 85388 take a median 53 days on market and close at 99.4% of list price, with 20% going over asking, as of May to July 2026.
Is 85388 newer or older housing?
Homes in 85388 were built around a median year of 2006, with 0% built before 1980. Older stock means budgeting for roof, HVAC and systems; newer stock means less deferred maintenance.
This is the ZIP. Your street tells its own story.
I run this same analysis at the subdivision and
size-band level before any client of mine lists or offers.
* 10-year appreciation compares the 3-month-smoothed median price per square foot in August 2016 against August 2026 — the same series shown in the chart above.
† 2008 drawdown is peak-to-trough on the smoothed monthly series: the April 2006 peak to the May 2011 low. On annual medians the figure looks smaller, but it would not match the chart.
‡ The hero tiles above use the latest three complete months (more current, smaller sample); the price-tier table below uses six months (more stable, larger sample). The two medians will not always match, and in a ZIP with fewer sales the gap can be substantial, not a rounding difference.
West USA Realty
Market Data by Clifford Wong, West USA Realty · v1.1 · Data through August 2026 · Updated August 25, 2026
Clifford Wong is licensed to sell real estate in Arizona by the Arizona Department of Real Estate · West USA Realty · AZ License SA699206000 · Equal Housing Opportunity
Sources: ARMLS sold records (Jan 2000 to Aug 2026) and Maricopa County Assessor public
records. Analysis window May to July 2026. This report describes market conditions in ZIP 85388
as a whole. It is not an appraisal or a valuation of any specific property, and it is not
investment advice. Statistics reflect recorded single-family sales and may lag the market
by up to one month. Clifford Wong, West USA Realty.
West USA Realty